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Bukovyna vs Nyva Ternopil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 Bukovyna Stadium, Chernivtsi
Bukovyna Logo

Bukovyna

2 - 1
FT
Nyva Ternopil Logo

Nyva Ternopil

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Pidlepenets Y.
41'
Vyshynskyi B.
44' Event
Stasyuk P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bukovyna in this Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bukovyna
30%
Draws
29%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bukovyna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Nyva Ternopil haven't matched Bukovyna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bukovyna's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Bukovyna have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bukovyna, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bukovyna here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bukovyna Clean Sheet 20%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bukovyna Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 12
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.6 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Nyva Ternopil vs Bukovyna
0:4
Apr 26, 2026 Persha Liga
Bukovyna vs Nyva Ternopil
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Bukovyna vs Nyva Ternopil
2:1
Oct 8, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Bukovyna
1:2
Jul 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Bukovyna vs Nyva Ternopil
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bukovyna Compare

Top Goalscorer Pidlepenets Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stasyuk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nyva Ternopil Compare

Top Goalscorer Bey A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bukovyna 40 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bukovyna Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bukovyna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bukovyna's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nyva Ternopil has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Bukovyna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bukovyna VS Nyva Ternopil
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bukovyna

(Home)
03 Oct
Bukovyna
0 : 0
Epitsentr
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
19 Sept
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0
Bukovyna
16 Sept
Bukovyna
0 : 1
LNZ Cherkasy
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
13 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 2
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3