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BUL vs NEC FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Premier League FUFA Technical Centre, Njeru
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Match Events

13' Event
Madoi R.
51' Event
Oshaba M.
Assist: Atukunda T.
67' Event
Mpasa S.
Assist: Batholomew D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between BUL and NEC FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BUL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
BUL
30%
Draws
27%
NEC FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NEC FC come out ahead of BUL on wins alone.
  • Model gives BUL a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
BUL Clean Sheet 19%
NEC FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BUL NEC FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.36 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Premier League
BUL vs NEC FC
2:1
Apr 28, 2026 Premier League
BUL vs NEC FC
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
NEC FC vs BUL
1:1
May 7, 2025 Premier League
NEC FC vs BUL
1:1
Dec 18, 2024 Premier League
BUL vs NEC FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BUL Compare

Top Goalscorer Madoi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mpasa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

NEC FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Oshaba M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BUL 42 / 100
NEC FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BUL NEC FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: BUL stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: BUL scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

NEC FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 31% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

BUL VS NEC FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BUL

(Home)
21 Oct
BUL
2 : 1
NEC FC
18 Oct
UPDF FC
0 : 2
BUL
13 Oct
Lugazi
0 : 0
BUL
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
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NEC FC

(Away)
21 Oct
BUL
2 : 1
NEC FC
14 Oct
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 2
NEC FC
08 Oct
NEC FC
0 : 0
Express FC
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
NEC FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 7 6 1 0 15:4 19
2 Villa 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
3 NEC FC 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Entebbe UPPC 7 4 2 1 7:2 14
5 Vipers 6 3 2 1 13:2 11
6 Maroons 7 3 1 3 13:8 10
7 Kampala City 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Blacks Power 6 3 0 3 6:9 9
9 Kitara 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
10 UPDF FC 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
11 Lugazi 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
12 Police 7 2 2 3 4:10 8
13 Express FC 7 1 3 3 4:6 6
14 Mbarara City 6 1 2 3 2:5 5
15 Uganda Revenue 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Ntugasaze 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
17 Kataka 7 0 2 5 4:17 2
18 Kigezi HomeBoyz 6 0 1 5 1:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)