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Bula vs South Melbourne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mesourouni A.
42' Event
Wasasala C.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Pro League 2026 game between Bula and South Melbourne finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bula
15%
Draws
64%
South Melbourne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Melbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • South Melbourne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • South Melbourne are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and South Melbourne have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bula Clean Sheet 19%
South Melbourne Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bula South Melbourne
Matches Played 18 39
Wins 6 21
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.94 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Bula
4:2
Apr 15, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Melbourne vs Bula
2:0
Feb 4, 2026 OFC Pro League
Bula vs South Melbourne
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bula Compare

Top Goalscorer Wasasala C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

South Melbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesourouni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bula 12 / 100
South Melbourne 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bula South Melbourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Melbourne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: South Melbourne conceded in 74% of 39 recent games.

Bula's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Bula went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS South Melbourne
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bula

(Home)
17 May
Bula
1 : 2
Vanuatu United
12 May
South Melbourne
4 : 2
Bula
09 May
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
Bula
06 May
Bula
0 : 1
South Island United
18 Apr
Bula
2 : 1
Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 4

South Melbourne

(Away)
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
11 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 1
South Melbourne
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
George Cross
1 : 0
South Melbourne
26 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 2
South Melbourne
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland FC 2 14 10 2 2 26:10 32
2 South Melbourne 14 7 4 3 40:18 25
3 Bula 14 6 3 5 14:15 21
4 South Island United 14 5 5 4 24:26 20
5 Solomon Kings 14 5 3 6 14:21 18
6 Tahiti United 14 4 5 5 20:28 17
7 Vanuatu United 14 3 4 7 20:25 13
8 PNG Hekari 14 2 2 10 14:29 8
Promotion - OFC Pro League 2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - OFC Pro League 2026 (Losers stage)