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Bulawayo Chiefs vs ZPC Kariba

Zimbabwe Zimbabwe

Premier Soccer League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier Soccer League game between Bulawayo Chiefs and ZPC Kariba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bulawayo Chiefs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bulawayo Chiefs
40%
Draws
29%
ZPC Kariba
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bulawayo Chiefs come out ahead of ZPC Kariba on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Bulawayo Chiefs Clean Sheet 20%
ZPC Kariba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulawayo Chiefs ZPC Kariba
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 10 16
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier Soccer League
Bulawayo Chiefs vs ZPC Kariba
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Premier Soccer League
ZPC Kariba vs Bulawayo Chiefs
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Premier Soccer League
Bulawayo Chiefs vs ZPC Kariba
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 Premier Soccer League
ZPC Kariba vs Bulawayo Chiefs
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 Premier Soccer League
Bulawayo Chiefs vs ZPC Kariba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulawayo Chiefs 32 / 100
ZPC Kariba 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulawayo Chiefs ZPC Kariba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulawayo Chiefs found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

ZPC Kariba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bulawayo Chiefs stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulawayo Chiefs VS ZPC Kariba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulawayo Chiefs

(Home)
26 Jul
Bulawayo Chiefs
1 : 0
ZPC Kariba
22 Jul
Scottland
2 : 1
Bulawayo Chiefs
18 Jul
Bulawayo Chiefs
0 : 1
Platinum
11 Jul
Simba Bhora
2 : 0
Bulawayo Chiefs
04 Jul
Bulawayo Chiefs
1 : 0
MWOS
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ZPC Kariba

(Away)
26 Jul
Bulawayo Chiefs
1 : 0
ZPC Kariba
22 Jul
ZPC Kariba
1 : 0
Highlanders
18 Jul
TelOne
0 : 1
ZPC Kariba
11 Jul
ZPC Kariba
1 : 1
Hunters
05 Jul
Manica
1 : 0
ZPC Kariba
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scottland24157239:852
2Hardrock25146541:1748
3Dynamos241111236:1844
4Herentals25126727:2242
5Ngezi Platinum251011430:2341
6CAPS Utd25109628:2239
7Highlanders24813321:1537
8MWOS25810723:2034
9Simba Bhora2589826:2533
10Chicken Inn2496918:2033
11Platinum25613616:1931
12ZPC Kariba25512816:2127
13Bulawayo Chiefs25691021:2827
14Hunters25412919:3124
15Agama25571316:3322
16TelOne25481317:3220
17Manica25471414:3719
18Triangle25361616:3315
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)