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Friendly International Women 2023

Montenegro U17 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bulgaria U17 W play Montenegro U17 W in the Friendly International Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bulgaria U17 W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Montenegro U17 W averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. In past meetings, Bulgaria U17 W won 1, Montenegro U17 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 16, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Bulgaria U17 W and 1.81 for Montenegro U17 W. This points to a Bulgaria U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Bulgaria U17 W

16%

Draws

37%

Montenegro U17 W

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Bulgaria U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Bulgaria U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Montenegro U17 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Bulgaria U17 W Clean Sheet 11%

Montenegro U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bulgaria U17 W	Montenegro U17 W
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	11
Draws	6	4
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	1.5	1.97
Goals Conceded	2.03	2.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2023 Friendly International Women

Bulgaria U17 W vs Montenegro U17 W

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ravnachka K.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Montenegro U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U17 W 45 / 100

Montenegro U17 W 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bulgaria U17 W Montenegro U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bulgaria U17 W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bulgaria U17 W attacking → ← attacking Montenegro U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U17 W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Montenegro U17 W let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bulgaria U17 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Montenegro U17 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 37

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63