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Bulgaria U19 W vs Azerbaijan U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bulgaria U19 W play Azerbaijan U19 W in the Euro U19 Women 2024. Bulgaria U19 W are favorites here. Recently, Bulgaria U19 W averaged 1.77 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Azerbaijan U19 W averaged 0.27 goals scored and 3.4 conceded. In past meetings, Bulgaria U19 W won 1, Azerbaijan U19 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 6, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.06 for Bulgaria U19 W and 1.00 for Azerbaijan U19 W. This points to a Bulgaria U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Bulgaria U19 W
15%
Draws
14%
Azerbaijan U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bulgaria U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bulgaria U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Azerbaijan U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.06 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bulgaria U19 W Clean Sheet 23%
Azerbaijan U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U19 W Azerbaijan U19 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 15 28
Goals Scored 1.77 0.27
Goals Conceded 2.07 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Euro U19 Women
Bulgaria U19 W vs Azerbaijan U19 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yordanova P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Azerbaijan U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U19 W 69 / 100
Azerbaijan U19 W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U19 W Azerbaijan U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bulgaria U19 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bulgaria U19 W attacking → ← attacking Azerbaijan U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U19 W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Azerbaijan U19 W let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Bulgaria U19 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Azerbaijan U19 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 4
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Macedonia U19 W33008:19
2Wales U19 W32016:26
3Lithuania U19 W31022:43
4Moldova U19 W30030:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland U19 W330015:09
2Albania U19 W320110:36
3Cyprus U19 W31025:53
4Liechtenstein U19 W30030:220
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kosovo U19 W330011:19
2Israel U19 W320114:26
3Luxembourg U19 W310210:53
4Gibraltar U19 W30030:270
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bulgaria U19 W33007:29
2Latvia U19 W320110:56
3Montenegro U19 W31026:73
4Azerbaijan U19 W30030:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Northern Ireland U19 W32107:07
2Estonia U19 W32015:46
3Kazakhstan U19 W31116:34
4Georgia U19 W30032:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Turkey U19 W21108:14
2Faroe Islands U19 W21104:24
3Armenia U19 W20021:100