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Bulgaria U21 vs Georgia U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2023
Wed, Mar 22, 2023
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bulgaria U21 host Georgia U21 in the Friendly International 2023. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Bulgaria U21 at 1.14 goals for, 1 against; Georgia U21 at 1.45 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Bulgaria U21 have won 2 to Georgia U21's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.25) back Bulgaria U21 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bulgaria U21
20%
Draws
23%
Georgia U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bulgaria U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bulgaria U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Bulgaria U21 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bulgaria U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Georgia U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U21 Georgia U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2023 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Georgia U21
0:0
Jun 8, 2017 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Georgia U21
1:0
Jul 24, 2009 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Georgia U21
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U21 58 / 100
Georgia U21 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U21 Georgia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U21 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Georgia U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Bulgaria U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Georgia U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria U21 VS Georgia U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria U21

(Home)
30 Sept
Czech Republic U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
25 Sept
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Portugal U21
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
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Georgia U21

(Away)
01 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 1
Georgia U21
26 Sept
Georgia U21
0 : 3
Greece U21
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
05 Jun
USA U20
1 : 0
Georgia U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
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