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Bulgaria U21 vs North Macedonia U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Stoyanchov S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Bulgaria U21 and North Macedonia U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bulgaria U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bulgaria U21
30%
Draws
12%
North Macedonia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bulgaria U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bulgaria U21 come out ahead of North Macedonia U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bulgaria U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 68%
North Macedonia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria U21 North Macedonia U21
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.09 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs North Macedonia U21
1:0
Mar 29, 2021 Friendly International
North Macedonia U21 vs Bulgaria U21
5:1
Mar 28, 2017 Friendly International
North Macedonia U21 vs Bulgaria U21
1:0
Nov 14, 2012 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs North Macedonia U21
1:1
Jun 6, 2011 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs North Macedonia U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoyanchov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

North Macedonia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U21 95 / 100
North Macedonia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria U21 North Macedonia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U21 scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

North Macedonia U21 let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bulgaria U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria U21 VS North Macedonia U21
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria U21

(Home)
30 Sept
Czech Republic U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
25 Sept
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Portugal U21
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
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North Macedonia U21

(Away)
01 Oct
North Macedonia U21
1 : 1
Montenegro U21
28 Sept
North Macedonia U21
2 : 3
Russia U21
26 Aug
North Macedonia U21
1 : 5
Morocco U20
24 Aug
Turkey U20
3 : 0
North Macedonia U21
22 Aug
Tunisia U21
0 : 0
North Macedonia U21
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