Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik

Bulgaria U21

2 - 1

Portugal U21

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Bozhinov R.

45'

Marinov T.

46'

Sub

Georgiev M. In: Marinov A.

Out: Georgiev M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Bulgaria U21 and Portugal U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bulgaria U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Bulgaria U21

20%

Draws

40%

Portugal U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Portugal U21 come out ahead of Bulgaria U21 on wins alone.
Win probability leans Portugal U21's way, sitting at 70%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bulgaria U21	Portugal U21
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	13	21
Draws	11	3
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.18	2.9
Goals Conceded	1.03	0.7
Expected Goals (xG)	0.56	2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Euro U21

Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21

2:1

Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21

Portugal U21 vs Bulgaria U21

3:0

Mar 26, 2008 Euro U21

Portugal U21 vs Bulgaria U21

2:0

Oct 12, 2007 Euro U21

Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlov T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marinov A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.43

Avg xA / game 0.28

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.99

Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria U21 14 / 100

Portugal U21 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bulgaria U21 Portugal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U21's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Bulgaria U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Portugal U21 has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria U21 VS Portugal U21

1 Goals Scored 3.63

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria U21

(Home)

25 Sept

Bulgaria U21

2 : 1

Portugal U21

30 May

Bulgaria U21

1 : 0

North Macedonia U21

31 Mar

Bulgaria U21

0 : 0

Azerbaijan U21

27 Mar

Gibraltar U21

0 : 1

Bulgaria U21

18 Nov

Scotland U21

1 : 0

Bulgaria U21

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Portugal U21

(Away)

25 Sept

Bulgaria U21

2 : 1

Portugal U21

03 Jun

Portugal U21

4 : 0

Northern Ireland U21

31 Mar

Portugal U21

3 : 0

Scotland U21

27 Mar

Azerbaijan U21

0 : 4

Portugal U21

18 Nov

Czech Republic U21

0 : 0

Portugal U21

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