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Bulgaria vs Cyprus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
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Match Events

27' Event
Kolev A.
Assist: Shopov S.
42' Event
Koutsakos N.
Assist: Kyriakou C.
46'
Sub
Vutsov S. In: Sheytanov D.
Out: Vutsov S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bulgaria
30%
Draws
47%
Cyprus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cyprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cyprus have won more games recently than Bulgaria.
  • Model gives Cyprus a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bulgaria Clean Sheet 20%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria Cyprus
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Bulgaria vs Cyprus
2:2
Nov 16, 2022 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Bulgaria
0:2
Nov 16, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Bulgaria
1:1
Oct 13, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria vs Cyprus
2:1
Aug 15, 2012 Friendly International
Bulgaria vs Cyprus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cyprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Koutsakos N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laifis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria 20 / 100
Cyprus 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria Cyprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cyprus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cyprus let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Bulgaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria VS Cyprus
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria

(Home)
06 Oct
Luxembourg
0 : 2
Bulgaria
03 Oct
Iceland
3 : 0
Bulgaria
29 Sept
Bulgaria
0 : 0
Estonia
26 Sept
Bulgaria
1 : 2
Luxembourg
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
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Cyprus

(Away)
05 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 1
Latvia
02 Oct
Cyprus
2 : 0
Armenia
28 Sept
Latvia
0 : 0
Cyprus
25 Sept
Montenegro
2 : 1
Cyprus
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
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