Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bulgaria vs Cyprus

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Kolev A.
Assist: Shopov S.
42' Event
Koutsakos N.
Assist: Kyriakou C.
46'
Sub
Vutsov S. In: Sheytanov D.
Out: Vutsov S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bulgaria
20%
Draws
33%
Cyprus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bulgaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cyprus have won more games recently than Bulgaria.
  • Model gives Bulgaria a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bulgaria Clean Sheet 68%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria Cyprus
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Bulgaria vs Cyprus
2:2
Nov 16, 2022 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Bulgaria
0:2
Nov 16, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Cyprus vs Bulgaria
1:1
Oct 13, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria vs Cyprus
2:1
Aug 15, 2012 Friendly International
Bulgaria vs Cyprus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cyprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Koutsakos N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Laifis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria 95 / 100
Cyprus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria Cyprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cyprus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Bulgaria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Bulgaria scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria VS Cyprus
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria

(Home)
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
01 Jun
Bulgaria
0 : 1
Montenegro
30 Mar
Indonesia
0 : 1
Bulgaria
27 Mar
Solomon Islands
2 : 10
Bulgaria
18 Nov
Bulgaria
2 : 1
Georgia
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Cyprus

(Away)
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
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