Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bulgaria vs Estonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Bulgaria Logo

Bulgaria

0 - 0
FT
Estonia Logo

Estonia

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Velkovski D.
37'
Tsonev B.
46'
Sub
Mustmaa K. In: Mannilaan M.
Out: Mustmaa K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Bulgaria and Estonia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Bulgaria
35%
Draws
40%
Estonia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Estonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bulgaria Clean Sheet 16%
Estonia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulgaria Estonia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.11 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria vs Estonia
0:0
Feb 9, 2011 Friendly International
Estonia vs Bulgaria
2:2
Sep 6, 2003 Euro
Bulgaria vs Estonia
2:0
Apr 2, 2003 Euro
Estonia vs Bulgaria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria 31 / 100
Estonia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulgaria Estonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Bulgaria scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bulgaria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria VS Estonia
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria

(Home)
29 Sept
Bulgaria
0 : 0
Estonia
26 Sept
Bulgaria
1 : 2
Luxembourg
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
01 Jun
Bulgaria
0 : 1
Montenegro
30 Mar
Indonesia
0 : 1
Bulgaria
Page 1 of 6

Estonia

(Away)
29 Sept
Bulgaria
0 : 0
Estonia
26 Sept
Iceland
1 : 1
Estonia
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)