Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia

Bulgaria

1 - 6

Turkey

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Guler A.

Assist: Calhanoglu H.

13'

Kirilov R.

Assist: Despodov K.

42'

Bozhinov R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Bulgaria and Turkey finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turkey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Bulgaria

15%

Draws

40%

Turkey

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bulgaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Turkey come out ahead of Bulgaria on wins alone.
Model gives Bulgaria a 45% chance of winning this.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Turkey here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Bulgaria Clean Sheet 10%

Turkey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bulgaria	Turkey
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	18
Draws	10	4
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.03	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.77	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship

Turkey vs Bulgaria

2:0

Oct 11, 2025 World Championship

Bulgaria vs Turkey

1:6

Jun 8, 2015 Friendly International

Turkey vs Bulgaria

4:0

May 29, 2012 Friendly International

Bulgaria vs Turkey

0:2

Aug 17, 2005 Friendly International

Bulgaria vs Turkey

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bulgaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirilov R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Turkey Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildiz K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Guler A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.33

Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulgaria 47 / 100

Turkey 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bulgaria Turkey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Turkey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Bulgaria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bulgaria found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria VS Turkey

1.75 Goals Scored 2.5

2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria

(Home)

05 Jun

Moldova

2 : 2

Bulgaria

01 Jun

Bulgaria

0 : 1

Montenegro

30 Mar

Indonesia

0 : 1

Bulgaria

27 Mar

Solomon Islands

2 : 10

Bulgaria

18 Nov

Bulgaria

2 : 1

Georgia

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Turkey

(Away)

26 Jun

Turkey

3 : 2

USA

20 Jun

Turkey

0 : 1

Paraguay

14 Jun

Australia

2 : 0

Turkey

06 Jun

Venezuela

1 : 2

Turkey

01 Jun

Turkey

4 : 0

North Macedonia

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