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Bulleen Lions W vs South Melbourne W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
2 - 1
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bulleen Lions W
15%
Draws
34%
South Melbourne W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bulleen Lions W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Bulleen Lions W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Bulleen Lions W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Melbourne W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bulleen Lions W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Bulleen Lions W Clean Sheet 23%
South Melbourne W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bulleen Lions W South Melbourne W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 17 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.1 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.24 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Bulleen Lions W vs South Melbourne W
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
South Melbourne W vs Bulleen Lions W
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Bulleen Lions W vs South Melbourne W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bulleen Lions W 37 / 100
South Melbourne W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bulleen Lions W South Melbourne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Melbourne W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulleen Lions W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

South Melbourne W let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bulleen Lions W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bulleen Lions W VS South Melbourne W
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulleen Lions W

(Home)
11 Sept
Box Hill W
2 : 0
Bulleen Lions W
05 Sept
Bulleen Lions W
2 : 1
South Melbourne W
30 Aug
Alamein FC W
2 : 0
Bulleen Lions W
22 Aug
Bulleen Lions W
3 : 2
Spring Hills W
16 Aug
Boroondara Eagles W
0 : 1
Bulleen Lions W
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South Melbourne W

(Away)
05 Sept
Bulleen Lions W
2 : 1
South Melbourne W
30 Aug
South Melbourne W
3 : 1
Essendon Royals W
23 Aug
Melbourne City U20 W
0 : 3
South Melbourne W
15 Aug
South Melbourne W
0 : 1
Keilor Park W
08 Aug
Avondale FC W
1 : 0
South Melbourne W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Box Hill W -
TBD -
Bulleen Lions W 2
South Melbourne W 1
Essendon Royals W -
TBD -
Avondale FC W 5
Boroondara Eagles W 3
Semi-finals
Box Hill W 2
Bulleen Lions W 0
Essendon Royals W 1
Avondale FC W 2
Final
Box Hill W 1
Avondale FC W 2