Sport Picks
Bullense vs Lorca Deportiva Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 
Match Events
31'
31'
Lulu
49'
49'
Lulu
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 game between Bullense and Lorca Deportiva finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lorca Deportiva.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lorca Deportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lorca Deportiva come out ahead of Bullense on wins alone.
- Model gives Lorca Deportiva a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lorca Deportiva here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bullense Clean Sheet 24%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bullense | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Bullense
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Lorca Deportiva
0:2
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Lorca Deportiva
2:4
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Bullense
8:0
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Bullense
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bullense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Lorca Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Lulu
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bullense 21 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bullense Lorca Deportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lorca Deportiva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Defensive concern: Lorca Deportiva conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Bullense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Bullense found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Lorca Deportiva
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bullense
(Home) 11 May
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 1 Bullense
04 May
Bullense
0 : 5 Santomera
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1 Bullense
19 Apr
Bullense
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
13 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Bullense
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Bullense
0 : 5 Santomera
19 Apr
Bullense
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
06 Apr
Bullense
0 : 2 Deportivo Maritimo
16 Mar
Bullense
2 : 1 Bala Azul
16 Feb
Bullense
3 : 0 Muleno CF
Page 1 of 3
Lorca Deportiva
(Away) 27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
19 Apr
Aguilas FC
2 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
05 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:22 | 78 |
| 2 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 73:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 54:24 | 67 |
| 4 | Santomera | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 66:42 | 62 |
| 5 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:23 | 62 |
| 6 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:23 | 55 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44:31 | 49 |
| 9 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:45 | 46 |
| 10 | Bala Azul | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 34:27 | 44 |
| 11 | Caravaca | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 12 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | 37 |
| 13 | Muleno CF | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | 37 |
| 14 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 27:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Minerva | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:45 | 34 |
| 16 | Bullense | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29:58 | 30 |
| 17 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 21:65 | 28 |
| 18 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 23:92 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
