Sport Picks

Belarus

Belarusian Cup SDYuShOR-6 Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BumProm Gomel play Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in the Belarusian Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, BumProm Gomel averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, BumProm Gomel won 0, Arsenal Dzerzhinsk won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 27, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for BumProm Gomel and 1.06 for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk. This points to a BumProm Gomel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

BumProm Gomel

19%

Draws

40%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: BumProm Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

BumProm Gomel picked up more points recently compared to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 22%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	BumProm Gomel	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played	29	26
Wins	14	9
Draws	4	6
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.93	1.15
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2023 Pershaya Liga

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs BumProm Gomel

Possession: 55% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Apr 23, 2023 Pershaya Liga

BumProm Gomel vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BumProm Gomel 41 / 100

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

BumProm Gomel Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: BumProm Gomel or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

BumProm Gomel attacking → ← attacking Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BumProm Gomel scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

BumProm Gomel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 33

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38