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BumProm Gomel vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup SDYuShOR-6 Stadium
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BumProm Gomel host Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in the Belarusian Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: BumProm Gomel at 2.38 goals for, 1 against; Arsenal Dzerzhinsk at 1.13 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Arsenal Dzerzhinsk slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 27, 2023, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.06) back BumProm Gomel to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
BumProm Gomel
33%
Draws
27%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: BumProm Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • BumProm Gomel have won more games recently than Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on BumProm Gomel taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BumProm Gomel Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs BumProm Gomel
1:0
Apr 23, 2023 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BumProm Gomel 40 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BumProm Gomel Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BumProm Gomel scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

BumProm Gomel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

BumProm Gomel VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn3
FK Lida4
TBD-
Zhodino-
Urozhaynaya0
Molodechno3
TBD-
BATE-
Technolog Mogilev0
FC Slonim6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Polotsk0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
FK Baranovici-
Minskoe More0
SKA-1938 Minsk3
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Bobovnya0
BumProm Gomel2
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Leskhoz0
Soligorsk3
TBD-
Neman-
Stanles Pinsk1
Krumkachy4
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Krechet0
Ostrovets8
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha7
TBD-
Naftan-
Neman Mosty1
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Volna Pinsk4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Ivatsevichi1
Slutsk3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Vertical Kalinkovichi0
Smorgon7
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Nadezhda Baranovici0
TBD-
Belshina-
BGU Minsk0
Osipovichi2
TBD-
Dnepr Mogilev-
1/16-finals
FK Lida-
Zhodino-
Molodechno1
BATE4
FC Slonim-
Isloch Minsk-
Uni X Labs-
FK Baranovici-
SKA-1938 Minsk3
ML Vitebsk5
BumProm Gomel-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Soligorsk-
Neman-
Krumkachy-
Dynamo Brest-
Ostrovets-
Vitebsk-
Orsha-
Naftan-
Niva Dolbizno-
FC Gomel-
Volna Pinsk-
Slavia Mozyr-
Slutsk0
Din. Minsk2
Smorgon-
FC Minsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka-
Belshina-
Osipovichi-
Dnepr Mogilev-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-