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BumProm Gomel vs Slutsk

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga SDYuShOR-6 Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BumProm Gomel play Slutsk in the Pershaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, BumProm Gomel averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Slutsk averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, BumProm Gomel won 0, Slutsk won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for BumProm Gomel and 1.44 for Slutsk. This points to a Slutsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
BumProm Gomel
19%
Draws
45%
Slutsk
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Slutsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • BumProm Gomel picked up more points recently compared to Slutsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 16%
Slutsk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BumProm Gomel Slutsk
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs Slutsk
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BumProm Gomel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Slutsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kontsedailov A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BumProm Gomel 36 / 100
Slutsk 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BumProm Gomel Slutsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slutsk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

BumProm Gomel attacking → ← attacking Slutsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BumProm Gomel scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Slutsk let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

BumProm Gomel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Slutsk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 45
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SKA-1938 Minsk14103136:1533
2Slutsk14102230:1632
3Niva Dolbizno1482433:1626
4FC Slonim1482426:1526
5FK Lida1473423:2224
6Din. Minsk 21373329:1824
7Volna Pinsk1472523:2123
8BumProm Gomel1472529:2023
9Soligorsk1464429:1822
10Molodechno1461719:2819
11FC Gomel 21444622:2016
12Orsha1342714:2414
13Ostrovets1428417:2014
14Smorgon1434717:2313
15FC Minsk 21441915:2913
16Uni X Labs1433812:2412
17BATE 21425719:3311
18Osipovichi14111215:464