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Bunyaruguru vs Catda

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Bunyaruguru and Catda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bunyaruguru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Bunyaruguru
15%
Draws
53%
Catda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Catda haven't matched Bunyaruguru's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Catda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 20%
Catda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyaruguru Catda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.97 0.8
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Catda
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Big League
Catda vs Bunyaruguru
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyaruguru 28 / 100
Catda 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyaruguru Catda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bunyaruguru found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Catda has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Bunyaruguru went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bunyaruguru VS Catda
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyaruguru

(Home)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Catda

(Away)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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