Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bunyaruguru vs Nebbi Central

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Bunyaruguru Logo

Bunyaruguru

2 - 1
FT
Nebbi Central Logo

Nebbi Central

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bunyaruguru in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bunyaruguru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bunyaruguru
15%
Draws
34%
Nebbi Central
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bunyaruguru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bunyaruguru lately — more wins on the board than Nebbi Central.
  • Win probability leans Bunyaruguru's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 20%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyaruguru Nebbi Central
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Bunyaruguru
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Nebbi Central
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyaruguru 36 / 100
Nebbi Central 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyaruguru Nebbi Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bunyaruguru scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Nebbi Central conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nebbi Central lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bunyaruguru VS Nebbi Central
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyaruguru

(Home)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Nebbi Central

(Away)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
Promotion - Premier League (Main)