Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bunyodkor vs Navbahor Namangan

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Milliy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Komilov S.
22'
Sub
Jgerenaia G. In: Komilov D.
Out: Jgerenaia G.
26'
Tulkinbekov A.

AI Match Summary

Bunyodkor in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bunyodkor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bunyodkor
39%
Draws
30%
Navbahor Namangan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Navbahor Namangan haven't matched Bunyodkor's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 19%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor Navbahor Namangan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Navbahor Namangan
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Bunyodkor
0:2
May 18, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Navbahor Namangan
2:3
Aug 19, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Bunyodkor
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Navbahor Namangan
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bunyodkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Krivokapic M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Komilov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 32 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor Navbahor Namangan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bunyodkor scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Navbahor Namangan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Bunyodkor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS Navbahor Namangan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210