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Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Milliy Stadium, Tashkent
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bunyodkor host Sogdiana in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Sogdiana have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Bunyodkor have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.09. Past meetings favor Bunyodkor slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.13) point toward Sogdiana. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bunyodkor
15%
Draws
59%
Sogdiana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sogdiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sogdiana lately — more wins on the board than Bunyodkor.
  • Win probability leans Sogdiana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bunyodkor Sogdiana
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.09 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor
0:2
Jun 29, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana
3:2
Oct 27, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Sogdiana
1:1
May 26, 2024 Super League
Sogdiana vs Bunyodkor
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bunyodkor 10 / 100
Sogdiana 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bunyodkor Sogdiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogdiana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Bunyodkor scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Bunyodkor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bunyodkor VS Sogdiana
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bunyodkor

(Home)
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1
Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 7

Sogdiana

(Away)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0
Sogdiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 23 15 7 1 42:21 52
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Nasaf Qarshi 23 10 7 6 35:22 37
5 Buxoro 23 11 4 8 35:31 37
6 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
7 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
8 Din. Samarkand 23 8 6 9 34:36 30
9 Andijan 23 9 3 11 29:31 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Kokand 1912 23 5 8 10 22:30 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Bunyodkor 23 7 1 15 23:39 22
16 Mashal Muborak 23 1 1 21 11:47 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)