Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bupolsa vs Real Burgos CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between Bupolsa and Real Burgos CF finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Bupolsa
15%
Draws
36%
Real Burgos CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bupolsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bupolsa come out ahead of Real Burgos CF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bupolsa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bupolsa Clean Sheet 20%
Real Burgos CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bupolsa Real Burgos CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.77 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Real Burgos CF
1:1
Dec 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs Bupolsa
1:0
Feb 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs Bupolsa
1:0
Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Real Burgos CF
3:2
Mar 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bupolsa vs Real Burgos CF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bupolsa 58 / 100
Real Burgos CF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bupolsa Real Burgos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bupolsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Burgos CF has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Real Burgos CF's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bupolsa scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bupolsa VS Real Burgos CF
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
13% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bupolsa

(Home)
20 Jun
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 0
Bupolsa
12 Jun
Bupolsa
0 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
05 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
0 : 0
Bupolsa
29 May
Bupolsa
1 : 0
Becerril
16 May
Bupolsa
0 : 1
La Baneza
Page 1 of 6

Real Burgos CF

(Away)
20 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
3 : 1
Real Burgos CF
13 Jun
Real Burgos CF
1 : 2
Becerril
30 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 0
La Baneza
22 May
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 1
Real Burgos CF
16 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palencia CA 20 14 2 4 29:11 44
2 Atletico Astorga 20 10 5 5 26:11 35
3 Leonesa B 20 9 8 3 25:18 35
4 La Virgen 20 8 7 5 22:18 31
5 Atletico Tordesillas 20 7 5 8 21:22 26
6 Bembibre 20 6 8 6 17:20 26
7 La Baneza 20 6 7 7 23:23 25
8 Salamanca CF UDS B 20 4 10 6 17:26 22
9 Santa Marta Tormes 20 5 6 9 14:17 21
10 Penaranda de Bracamonte 20 4 4 12 13:28 16
11 Becerril 20 3 6 11 10:23 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 22 18 3 1 54:10 57
2 Burgos CF B 22 11 7 4 33:15 40
3 Numancia B 22 12 3 7 40:34 39
4 Arandina 22 10 6 6 41:31 36
5 Mirandes B 22 8 9 5 30:21 33
6 Real Avila 22 9 4 9 25:23 31
7 Almazan 22 9 4 9 26:31 31
8 Colegios Diocesanos 22 7 2 13 19:42 23
9 La Granja 22 6 4 12 24:30 22
10 Real Burgos CF 22 4 7 11 18:37 19
11 CD Cebrerena 22 5 4 13 18:36 19
12 Bupolsa 22 4 5 13 17:35 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)