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Burapha United vs Chiangrai Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
1 - 1
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kraisorn A.
77' Event
Robinho
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Thai FA Cup. This one's hard to separate. Chiangrai Utd have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Burapha United have conceded 4 and scored 0. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.24, favoring Chiangrai Utd. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Burapha United
25%
Draws
35%
Chiangrai Utd
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Burapha United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Chiangrai Utd have won more games recently than Burapha United.
  • Burapha United are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Chiangrai Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Burapha United Clean Sheet 19%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burapha United Chiangrai Utd
Matches Played 1 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 9
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 0 1.17
Goals Conceded 4 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burapha United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kraisorn A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Chiangrai Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burapha United 36 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burapha United Chiangrai Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangrai Utd has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Chiangrai Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Burapha United found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (1 games).

Scoring Trends

Burapha United VS Chiangrai Utd
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burapha United

(Home)
29 Oct
Burapha United
0 : 4
Port MTI FC

Chiangrai Utd

(Away)
18 Oct
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
11 Oct
Prachuap
2 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1
Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Romklao United 1
Sukhothai 0
Dome -
Sisaket United -
Nakhon Phanom United 1
Marines FC 0
Phetchabun -
Banbueng -
See Khwae City 1
Udon Banjan United 2
Udon United 5
Lopburi City 0
Buriram United F.C. -
DPU Thayang FC -
Thap Luang United -
Rayong FC -
Huasamrong 1
Mahasarakham 2
Yala -
Samut Sakhon City -
Ayutthaya United -
Muang Thong Utd -
Chumphon United -
Songkhla -
Rasisalai United -
Port MTI FC -
Kasetsart -
Chanthaburi -
Phetchaburi -
Lopburi FC -
Surindra FC -
Phichit United -
Suphanburi FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 4
Burapha United -
Chiangrai Utd -
Old Blood -
Bangkok Utd -
Police Tero -
Surin City -
Uthai Thani 2
Nakhon Pathom 0
Bangkapi -
PTS -
Khonkaen United -
Pathum United -
Phitsanulok -
Royal Thai Fleet FC -
Pattaya United -
Narathiwat FC -
Muangnont -
Samui United -
Kasem Bundit -
Customs Utd -
Prachuap -
Nonthaburi United -
Bangkok FC -
Nong Bua Pitchaya -
Chonburi 2
Pattaya City 5
Warin Chamrap -
Karin United -
Ratchaburi -
Pattani -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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