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Burgess Hill vs Brentwood

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bennett K.
22' Event
Johnson L.
45' Event
Whelpdale Ch.

AI Match Summary

Burgess Hill in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burgess Hill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Burgess Hill
40%
Draws
29%
Brentwood
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Burgess Hill and Brentwood on recent form.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 10%
Brentwood Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgess Hill Brentwood
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 17 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Brentwood
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Burgess Hill
2:1
Feb 27, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Brentwood
1:1
Jan 23, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brentwood vs Burgess Hill
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burgess Hill Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whelpdale Ch.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Brentwood Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaiser E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgess Hill 30 / 100
Brentwood 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgess Hill Brentwood

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burgess Hill scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Brentwood conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Burgess Hill stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgess Hill VS Brentwood
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folkestone422994102:4096
2Aveley422412690:5184
3Billericay422410881:4882
4Chatham422471183:3579
5Brentwood422461284:6678
6Dartford4220121081:5572
7Cray Wanderers421716979:7167
8Burgess Hill422071576:8167
9Dulwich Hamlet4217111461:5362
10Ramsgate4215121573:6857
11St. Albans421681871:5956
12Chichester City4214131557:6355
13Cheshunt4212141665:7050
14Whitehawk4212131758:7249
15Welling421532454:7548
16Wingate & Finchley4212102055:6746
17Lewes421372247:8346
18Carshalton4210141861:7344
19Cray Valley421192254:8042
20Hashtag421192260:8742
21Potters42933046:9430
22Canvey Island42692740:8727