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Burgess Hill vs Colney Heath

England England

FA Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Burgess Hill advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Burgess Hill
30%
Draws
8%
Colney Heath
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burgess Hill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Colney Heath haven't matched Burgess Hill's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Burgess Hill's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Burgess Hill have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Burgess Hill, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 16%
Colney Heath Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgess Hill Colney Heath
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 15 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.73 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2017 FA Cup
Burgess Hill vs Colney Heath
3:0
Sep 16, 2017 FA Cup
Colney Heath vs Burgess Hill
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgess Hill 84 / 100
Colney Heath 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgess Hill Colney Heath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgess Hill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colney Heath let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Burgess Hill's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Burgess Hill remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burgess Hill VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgess Hill

(Home)
28 Aug
Burgess Hill
2 : 1
Dartford
22 Aug
Cheshunt
1 : 1
Burgess Hill
15 Aug
Burgess Hill
2 : 2
Leatherhead
11 Aug
Burgess Hill
3 : 0
Whyteleafe
08 Aug
Brentwood
2 : 0
Burgess Hill
Page 1 of 6

Colney Heath

(Away)
22 Jul
Broadfields United
1 : 1
Colney Heath
09 Oct
Colney Heath
2 : 5
Basildon
04 Sept
Colney Heath
0 : 4
Ware
07 Sept
Colney Heath
1 : 3
Corby
19 Sept
Burgess Hill
3 : 0
Colney Heath
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Tranmere -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1874 Northwich 4
Mossley AFC 2
TBD -
North Ferriby United -
Atherton Collieries 2
Cleethorpes 1
Consett 1
Ossett Town 2
South Shields 2
Witton Albion 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Salford -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Shaw Lane 3
Radcliffe 1
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Droylsden 4
Colwyn Bay 3
Colne 0
Lancaster 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Chorley -
TBD -
Farsley 1
Stalybridge 2
Albion Sports 3
Barnoldswick Town 2
Bamber Bridge 1
Ashton Athletic 2
AFC Mansfield 4
Dunkirk 0
Potton United 0
Rushall 1
Haughmond FC 3
Matlock 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Stafford 4
Peterborough Sports 3
TBD -
Tamworth -
Barwell 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
TBD -
Telford -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Handsworth Parramore 2
Skelmersdale 1
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Harrogate -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Penistone Church 3
Southport -
TBD -
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Bradford PA -
Leamington -
TBD -
Soham 0
Westfields 1
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Nantwich 2
City Of Liverpool 1
Leek Town 1
Shepshed 6
King’s Lynn 4
Coleshill Town 1
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Basford Utd. 3
Halesowen 0
Hinckley 1
Mickleover 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Clitheroe 2
Romulus 0
Kettering 3
Buxton 3
Frickley 2
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Chasetown 3
Grantham Town 2
Holbeach 1
Market Drayton 1
Alvechurch 5
TBD -
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Gateshead -
Guiseley -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Banbury 4
Tiverton 2
Hamworthy United 1
Thatcham 5
Altrincham 5
Abbey Hey 4
Bottesford Town 0
Shildon 1
AFC Fylde -
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Wrexham -
Kidderminster -
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Brocton 2
Deeping Rangers 4
Ashton United 3
Marine 1
Whitley Bay 0
Newcastle Benfield 2
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Scarborough Athletic 1
Workington 0
Liversedge 0
Sunderland Ryhope 4
Redditch 1
Lincoln Utd. 0
Newcastle Town 0
Stratford 4
Boston Town 2
Hednesford 0
Yaxley 0
Dereham 1
Warrington Town 1
Grimsby Borough 0
Kendal 0
Hyde 1
Stourbridge 3
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Coalville Town 0
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Tividale 2
TBD -
Alfreton -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Macclesfield -
Brackley -
TBD -
Shoreham 2
Kingstonian 3
Royston Town 2
Dunstable Town 0
TBD -
Braintree -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 0
Didcot 0
Billericay 5
Dagenham & Red. -
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Leyton Orient -
Eastleigh -
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Hornchurch 1
Romford 0
Grays 3
Hertford Town 4
Kempston 2
FC Wisbech Town 1
Godalming Town 0
Hereford 8
Aldershot -
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Torquay -
Bath City -
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Guildford City 1
Knaphill 3
Wingate & Finchley 5
Hendon 3
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Hemel Hempstead -
Weymouth 5
Odd Down 0
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Chippenham Town -
Ramsgate 7
Egham Town 5
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Oxford City -
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Whitehawk -
Crowborough 2
Sevenoaks 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Leiston 3
Eastbourne Borough -
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Pagham 3
Carshalton 5
Weston-super-Mare -
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Bognor Regis -
Maidenhead -
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Hayes & Yeading 7
Maldon & Tiptree 6
Hadley 2
Romania 3
Merthyr Town 6
Willand Rovers 1
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Havant & Waterlooville -
Haringey Borough 3
Hitchin 2
TBD -
Welling -
Bodmin Town 2
Horndean 0
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bideford 5
Frome Town 2
AFC Totton 1
Taunton Town 3
Tavistock 4
Metropolitan Police 3
Staines 2
Arlesey 0
Heybridge 7
Woking -
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Dorking Wanderers 3
Worthing FC 2
Takeley 0
Cheshunt 2
Tunbridge Wells 5
Haywards Heath 2
TBD -
Concord Rangers -
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Stortford 0
Potters 1
Hartley Wintney 3
Basingstoke 2
Moneyfields 1
Cinderford Town 2
Sudbury 5
Mildenhall 3
Littlehampton 2
Chipstead 6
Portchester 1
Dorchester 0
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Truro -
Dover Ath. -
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Bromley -
Slough Town 3
Berkhamsted Town 1
Hastings 1
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Salisbury 3
Farnborough 2
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Poole Town -
Aylesbury United 1
Tilbury 0
Thame United 3
Baldock 4
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Merstham 0
Greenwich Borough 2
Folkestone 3
Burgess Hill 3
Erith Town 0
Cockfosters 0
Colney Heath 3
Faversham 3
Tonbridge 1
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Wealdstone -
Needham Market 3
Clapton 0
Great Yarmouth Town 0
Chesham 2
Barking 4
Gorleston 0
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Dartford -
St. Albans -
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Neots 1
Cambridge City 3
Cadbury Heath 2
Andover Town 1
Barnstaple Town 0
Bridport 1
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Boreham Wood -
Maidstone -
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Phoenix Sports 2
Eastbourne Town 0
Banstead Athletic 0
Glebe 4
Hanwell Town 4
Brightlingsea 1
Harrow Borough 1
Enfield Town 2
Margate 3
East Grinstead Town 1
Haverhill Borough 0
Kings Langley 8
Horsham FC 6
Ashford United 0
Walton Casuals 1
Herne Bay 3
Ashford Town 2
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Beaconsfield Town 0
Marlow 2
Ware 2
FC Witham Town 1
Cray Valley 0
Leatherhead 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Winchester City 0
Margaretsbury 1
Kidlington 6
Gosport Borough 1
Bridgwater United 0
Tuffley Rovers 0
Swindon Supermarine 5
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Sutton -
East Thurrock Utd -
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North Leigh 4
Biggleswade Town 5
Lowestoft 2
Bedford 0
Thurrock 2
Harlow 3
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Ebbsfleet -
Quarter-finals
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1874 Northwich 1
North Ferriby United 0
Atherton Collieries 0
Ossett Town 1
South Shields 3
Darlington FC 0
Salford 1
York City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Shaw Lane 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Droylsden 0
Lancaster 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Chorley 3
Stalybridge 1
Albion Sports 0
Ashton Athletic 4
AFC Mansfield 2
Rushall 1
Haughmond FC 1
Boston United 6
Stafford 1
Tamworth 0
Barwell 0
Telford 2
Stockport County 1
Curzon Ashton 0
Handsworth Parramore 3
United of Manchester 7
Harrogate 3
Penistone Church 0
Southport 0
Bradford PA 3
Leamington 2
Westfields 0
Spennymoor 1
Gainsborough 2
Nantwich 1
Shepshed 0
King’s Lynn 1
Nuneaton 3
Basford Utd. 1
Mickleover 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Kettering 2
Buxton 4
Chasetown 1
Grantham Town 3
Alvechurch 4
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TBD -
Gateshead -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury 2
Thatcham 0
Altrincham 0
Shildon 1
AFC Fylde -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Wrexham -
Kidderminster 4
Deeping Rangers 2
Ashton United 1
Newcastle Benfield 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Chester -
Scarborough Athletic 2
Sunderland Ryhope 0
Redditch 1
Stratford 4
Boston Town 2
Dereham 1
Warrington Town 1
Hyde 3
Stourbridge 2
St Ives Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Alfreton 5
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TBD -
Macclesfield -
Brackley 3
Kingstonian 0
Royston Town 3
Braintree 4
Hungerford 3
Gloucester City 0
Thamesmead 1
Billericay 6
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch 2
Hertford Town 1
Kempston 0
Hereford 4
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Bath City 6
Knaphill 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Weymouth 2
Chippenham Town 0
Ramsgate 0
Chelmsford 7
Oxford City 3
Whitehawk 1
Crowborough 2
Leiston 4
Eastbourne Borough 4
Carshalton 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Bognor Regis 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 4
Romania 2
Merthyr Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Haringey Borough 2
Welling 1
Bodmin Town 1
Bideford 2
Frome Town 2
Tavistock 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Heybridge 4
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Cheshunt 1
Tunbridge Wells 0
Concord Rangers 4
Hampton & Richmond 4
Potters 1
Hartley Wintney 0
Cinderford Town 1
Sudbury 3
Chipstead 0
Portchester 0
Truro 2
Dover Ath. -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Slough Town 3
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Salisbury 0
Poole Town 2
Aylesbury United 2
Baldock 1
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Folkestone 3
Burgess Hill 6
Colney Heath 3
Faversham 0
Wealdstone 4
Needham Market 2
Chesham 0
Barking 1
Dartford 3
St. Albans 5
Cambridge City 3
Cadbury Heath 4
Bridport 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Sports 4
Glebe 3
Hanwell Town 0
Enfield Town 5
Margate 1
Kings Langley 0
Horsham FC 2
Herne Bay 5
Ashford Town 2
Marlow 0
Ware 2
Leatherhead 5
Paulton Rovers 3
Kidlington 2
Gosport Borough 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
East Thurrock Utd 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Lowestoft 0
Harlow 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Semi-finals
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
1874 Northwich 2
Ossett Town 3
South Shields 3
York City 2
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Shaw Lane 2
Lancaster 1
TBD -
Barrow -
Chorley 1
Ashton Athletic 0
AFC Mansfield 0
Boston United 2
Stafford 2
Telford 5
Stockport County 3
United of Manchester 4
Harrogate 2
Bradford PA 0
Leamington 0
Gainsborough 2
Nantwich 3
Nuneaton 1
Basford Utd. 2
Kettering 3
Buxton 2
Alvechurch 1
TBD -
Gateshead -
Guiseley -
TBD -
Banbury 2
Shildon 3
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Kidderminster 1
Newcastle Benfield 0
TBD -
Chester -
Scarborough Athletic 6
Stratford 3
Boston Town 2
Hyde 3
Stourbridge 3
Alfreton 1
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Brackley 4
Braintree 1
Hungerford 2
Billericay 7
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Hornchurch 0
Hereford 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Bath City 3
Hemel Hempstead 0
Weymouth 1
Chelmsford 2
Oxford City 4
Leiston 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Bognor Regis 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 0
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Haringey Borough 4
Bideford 1
Frome Town 1
Heybridge 2
Woking -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 0
Concord Rangers 3
Hampton & Richmond 3
Cinderford Town 2
Sudbury 1
Truro 4
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Slough Town 2
Poole Town 1
Aylesbury United 1
Folkestone 2
Burgess Hill 1
Wealdstone 0
Needham Market 1
Dartford 6
St. Albans 2
Bridport 1
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidstone -
TBD -
Phoenix Sports 0
Enfield Town 3
Margate 2
Herne Bay 0
Ashford Town 1
Leatherhead 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Swindon Supermarine 2
TBD -
Sutton -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Harlow 3
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Ebbsfleet -
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Halifax 1
Tranmere 3
Solihull Moors 3
Ossett Town 2
South Shields 1
Hartlepool 2
Shaw Lane 2
Barrow 1
Chorley 4
Boston United 3
Telford 3
United of Manchester 1
Harrogate 1
Gainsborough 2
Nantwich 2
Kettering 1
Buxton 1
Gateshead 2
Guiseley 6
Shildon 0
AFC Fylde 1
Wrexham 0
Kidderminster 2
Chester 0
Scarborough Athletic 0
Hyde 2
Stourbridge 0
Macclesfield 5
Brackley 4
Billericay 5
Dagenham & Red. 0
Leyton Orient 1
Eastleigh 1
Hereford 2
Aldershot 1
Torquay 0
Bath City 0
Chelmsford 1
Oxford City 1
Bognor Regis 0
Maidenhead 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Haringey Borough 2
Heybridge 4
Woking 3
Concord Rangers 2
Hampton & Richmond 0
Truro 2
Dover Ath. 0
Bromley 3
Slough Town 1
Folkestone 0
Burgess Hill 0
Dartford 1
St. Albans 1
Boreham Wood 3
Maidstone 5
Enfield Town 3
Margate 1
Leatherhead 2
Paulton Rovers 2
Sutton 3
East Thurrock Utd 0
Ebbsfleet 3