Sport Picks
Burgess Hill vs Dartford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Isthmian League Premier Division 
Match Events
31'
31'
Pope B.
45'
45'
Pinder J.
74'
74'
Oke E.
AI Match Summary
The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Burgess Hill and Dartford finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgess Hill.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burgess Hill
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dartford come out ahead of Burgess Hill on wins alone.
- Burgess Hill are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 13%
Dartford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burgess Hill | Dartford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Dartford
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Dartford
2:1
Sep 30, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dartford vs Burgess Hill
3:3
Oct 14, 2017 FA Cup
Burgess Hill vs Dartford
0:1
Jan 10, 2015 FA Trophy
Burgess Hill vs Dartford
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burgess Hill Compare
Top Goalscorer Pope B.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Dartford Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinder J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burgess Hill 48 / 100
Dartford 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burgess Hill Dartford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burgess Hill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Burgess Hill scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Dartford conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Burgess Hill stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Burgess Hill VS Dartford
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Burgess Hill
(Home) 10 Oct
Burgess Hill
1 : 1 Aveley
03 Oct
Burgess Hill
4 : 1 Maldon & Tiptree
26 Sept
Burgess Hill
6 : 2 Winslow United
19 Sept
Hanwell Town
2 : 1 Burgess Hill
15 Sept
Jersey Bulls
1 : 3 Burgess Hill
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Burgess Hill
1 : 1 Aveley
03 Oct
Burgess Hill
4 : 1 Maldon & Tiptree
26 Sept
Burgess Hill
6 : 2 Winslow United
12 Sept
Burgess Hill
2 : 2 Ramsgate
05 Sept
Burgess Hill
0 : 0 Jersey Bulls
Page 1 of 4
Dartford
(Away) 10 Oct
Dartford
2 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
06 Oct
Dartford
1 : 2 Ramsgate
03 Oct
Tadley Calleva
2 : 1 Dartford
29 Sept
Dartford
2 : 1 Whitehawk
26 Sept
Leiston
0 : 3 Dartford
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Tadley Calleva
2 : 1 Dartford
26 Sept
Leiston
0 : 3 Dartford
15 Sept
Enfield Town
0 : 2 Dartford
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3 Dartford
05 Sept
Westfield
1 : 1 Dartford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 28:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Welling | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 24 |
| 3 | Dartford | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 24 |
| 4 | Lewes | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Carshalton | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:11 | 19 |
| 8 | St. Albans | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:13 | 17 |
| 9 | Dulwich Hamlet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 16 |
| 10 | Chatham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Leatherhead | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Burgess Hill | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:14 | 14 |
| 14 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 12 |
| 15 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 17 | Brentwood | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Whyteleafe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 19 | Maldon & Tiptree | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 15:33 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 19:29 | 8 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:26 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8:26 | 4 |
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
