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Stadium Background

Burghausen vs Augsburg II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern Wacker Arena, Burghausen
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bachschmid F.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Agbaje N. S.
49' Event
Bachschmid F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern game between Burghausen and Augsburg II finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burghausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Burghausen
20%
Draws
29%
Augsburg II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burghausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Burghausen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Burghausen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Burghausen Clean Sheet 10%
Augsburg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burghausen Augsburg II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Augsburg II
5:2
Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Burghausen vs Augsburg II
1:1
Apr 14, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Augsburg II vs Burghausen
0:0
Aug 1, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Augsburg II
3:0
Nov 29, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Augsburg II vs Burghausen
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bachschmid F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Agbaje N. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Augsburg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Lichtensteiger D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dreo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burghausen 83 / 100
Augsburg II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burghausen Augsburg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burghausen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsburg II has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Burghausen found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Burghausen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burghausen VS Augsburg II
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burghausen

(Home)
03 Oct
Vfb Eichstatt
1 : 0
Burghausen
26 Sept
Burghausen
3 : 1
Munich 1860
19 Sept
Burghausen
5 : 2
Augsburg II
15 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Burghausen
11 Sept
Burghausen
1 : 2
Landsberg
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Augsburg II

(Away)
03 Oct
Nurnberg II
3 : 0
Augsburg II
26 Sept
Augsburg II
3 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
19 Sept
Burghausen
5 : 2
Augsburg II
15 Sept
Bayern II
0 : 0
Augsburg II
12 Sept
Augsburg II
0 : 3
Furth II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 25:11 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 14:7 24
3 Vfb Eichstatt 12 6 3 3 15:15 21
4 Munich 1860 11 5 5 1 24:13 20
5 Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 15:10 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
7 Burghausen 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 22:18 16
9 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 18:18 16
10 Bayern II 11 4 3 4 14:12 15
11 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 17:16 15
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 18:26 15
13 Nurnberg II 11 4 1 6 21:17 13
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 11 3 3 5 16:24 12
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 14:23 12
16 Furth II 11 3 2 6 15:18 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10:25 10
18 TSV Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 14:20 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 10:21 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)