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Burgos CF B vs Palencia CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Royo H.
56' Event
Ribas I.
61' Event
Saez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Burgos CF B and Palencia CF finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgos CF B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Burgos CF B
20%
Draws
28%
Palencia CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burgos CF B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Palencia CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Burgos CF B are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 68%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF B Palencia CF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Palencia CF
3:0
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Palencia CF
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Burgos CF B
0:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Burgos CF B
4:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Palencia CF
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burgos CF B Compare

Top Goalscorer Royo H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ribas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Palencia CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF B 77 / 100
Palencia CF 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF B Palencia CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burgos CF B has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Burgos CF B's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Palencia CF conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF B VS Palencia CF
1.29 Goals Scored 1.75
0.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
43% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF B

(Home)
03 Oct
Mirandes B
1 : 2
Burgos CF B
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
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Palencia CF

(Away)
03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2
Palencia CF
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Palencia CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)