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Burgos CF vs Ath Bilbao

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Burgos CF and Ath Bilbao finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ath Bilbao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Burgos CF
35%
Draws
32%
Ath Bilbao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Burgos CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Burgos CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ath Bilbao here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 19%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF Ath Bilbao
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.18 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Burgos CF vs Ath Bilbao
0:3
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Burgos CF vs Ath Bilbao
2:1
Dec 15, 2022 Club Friendly
Burgos CF vs Ath Bilbao
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 42 / 100
Ath Bilbao 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF Ath Bilbao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burgos CF found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Ath Bilbao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Burgos CF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS Ath Bilbao
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF

(Home)
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
31 Aug
Burgos CF
2 : 2
Real Sociedad B
23 Aug
Gijon
1 : 0
Burgos CF
16 Aug
Burgos CF
3 : 2
Cordoba
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Ath Bilbao

(Away)
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0
Ath Bilbao
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