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Burgos CF vs Valladolid

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sanchez C.
25' Event
Chapela I.
34'
Latasa J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Burgos CF
35%
Draws
27%
Valladolid
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Burgos CF have won more games recently than Valladolid.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Burgos CF taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 68%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burgos CF Valladolid
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs Burgos CF
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Valladolid
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Burgos CF vs Valladolid
2:2
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Valladolid vs Burgos CF
2:1
Jan 13, 2024 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Valladolid
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burgos CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chapela I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Valladolid Compare

Top Goalscorer Latasa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndiaye A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burgos CF 68 / 100
Valladolid 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burgos CF Valladolid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Burgos CF stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Burgos CF found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Valladolid let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Burgos CF VS Valladolid
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burgos CF

(Home)
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
31 Aug
Burgos CF
2 : 2
Real Sociedad B
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Valladolid

(Away)
27 Sept
Valladolid
3 : 1
Cordoba
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3
Real Oviedo
05 Sept
Valladolid
1 : 0
FC Andorra
30 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 1
Valladolid
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