Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buriram United F.C. vs Johor DT

Asia Asia

ASEAN Club Championship 2025/2026 Chang Arena, Buriram
Wed, May 13, 2026
1 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Hemviboon P.
33'
Good C.
34'
Aketxe A.

AI Match Summary

Johor DT in this ASEAN Club Championship 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Buriram United F.C.
6%
Draws
90%
Johor DT
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Johor DT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Buriram United F.C. have won more games recently than Johor DT.
  • Johor DT are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Buriram United F.C. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Johor DT, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 10%
Johor DT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buriram United F.C. Johor DT
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 23 22
Draws 3 2
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.63 3.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 ASEAN Club Championship
Buriram United F.C. vs Johor DT
1:2
May 6, 2026 ASEAN Club Championship
Johor DT vs Buriram United F.C.
1:3
Sep 16, 2025 AFC Champions League
Buriram United F.C. vs Johor DT
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 AFC Champions League
Johor DT vs Buriram United F.C.
0:1
Mar 4, 2025 AFC Champions League
Buriram United F.C. vs Johor DT
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Schindler K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Johor DT Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buriram United F.C. 10 / 100
Johor DT 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buriram United F.C. Johor DT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buriram United F.C.'s goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Buriram United F.C. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Johor DT has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Buriram United F.C. VS Johor DT
1.63 Goals Scored 3.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Buriram United F.C.

(Home)
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1
Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
13 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 2
Johor DT
Page 1 of 7

Johor DT

(Away)
20 Jul
CD Contestano
0 : 8
Johor DT
19 Jul
Al Ettifaq FC
3 : 2
Johor DT
23 May
Johor DT
2 : 0
Kuching City FC
13 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 2
Johor DT
10 May
Kelantan The Real Warriors
1 : 14
Johor DT
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Selangor4
Nam Dinh1
Johor DT3
Buriram United F.C.4
Final
Selangor1
Buriram United F.C.3