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Buriram United F.C. vs Khonkaen United

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup Chang Arena, Buriram
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Suganuma S. In: Homsan W.
Out: Suganuma S.
20'
Sub
Jaided S. In: Walsh S.
Out: Jaided S.
39' Event
Zulj R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Buriram United F.C. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Buriram United F.C.
6%
Draws
4%
Khonkaen United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Buriram United F.C. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Buriram United F.C. taking it.
  • Buriram United F.C. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Buriram United F.C., who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Buriram United F.C. have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Khonkaen United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buriram United F.C. Khonkaen United
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 30 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Khonkaen United
6:0
Jan 19, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Khonkaen United
9:0
Aug 29, 2024 Thai League 1
Khonkaen United vs Buriram United F.C.
0:3
May 26, 2024 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Khonkaen United
8:2
Aug 12, 2023 Thai League 1
Khonkaen United vs Buriram United F.C.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulj R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Toku E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Khonkaen United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buriram United F.C. 95 / 100
Khonkaen United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buriram United F.C. Khonkaen United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buriram United F.C. scored in 93% of their last 40 games.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Khonkaen United conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Buriram United F.C. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buriram United F.C. VS Khonkaen United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Buriram United F.C.

(Home)
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1
Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
13 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 2
Johor DT
Page 1 of 8

Khonkaen United

(Away)
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
19 Apr
Khonkaen United
1 : 0
Kasetsart
05 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 2
Khonkaen United
21 Mar
Khonkaen United
2 : 1
Chiangmai United
18 Mar
Port MTI FC
7 : 0
Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Phichit United1
Udon Thani City0
Chiangrai Utd19
Sing Pathumthani0
Prime Bangkok1
Khonkaen FC0
Royal Thai Fleet FC1
FC ACDC0
Uthai Thani3
Kasem Bundit0
Chiangmai United2
Prachuap6
Pathum United4
Kamphaeng Phet0
Surin Sugar2
Ubonkids City9
Muang Thong Utd10
Romklao United0
Surat Thani City1
Lamphun Warrior4
Sukhothai3
Yala1
Thonburi Forest0
Nong Bua Pitchaya7
Burapha United0
Port MTI FC4
Bangkok Utd7
Samut Sakhon City0
Kanchanaburi4
Nara United0
Chonburi1
Police Tero2
Customs Utd3
Nonthaburi United0
Buriram United F.C.12
Warin Chamrap0
See Khwae City0
Pattani1
Cha Choeng Sao0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC1
Samui United2
Sa-Kaeo Ban Kaeng0
Nong Khai FC0
Khonkaen United5
Bankhai United5
Nakhon Nayok0
Kasetsart1
Nakhon Pathom2
Ayutthaya United1
Udon United0
Roi Et 20182
Samut Songkhram City0
Siwilai0
Uttaradit FC2
Pattaya City1
Chiangmai FC0
Marines FC0
Sisaket United3
Mahasarakham1
Rayong FC4
Muangnont0
Phitsanulok1
Lopburi City2
Ratchaburi3
1/16-finals
Phichit United2
Chiangrai Utd3
Prime Bangkok3
Royal Thai Fleet FC2
Uthai Thani0
Prachuap1
Pathum United10
Ubonkids City0
Muang Thong Utd0
Lamphun Warrior1
Sukhothai3
Nong Bua Pitchaya0
Port MTI FC0
Bangkok Utd3
Kanchanaburi1
Police Tero0
Customs Utd1
Buriram United F.C.5
Pattani2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Samui United1
Khonkaen United3
Bankhai United1
Nakhon Pathom3
Ayutthaya United6
Roi Et 20180
Uttaradit FC1
Pattaya City0
Sisaket United1
Rayong FC0
Phitsanulok1
Ratchaburi2
1/8-finals
Chiangrai Utd3
Prime Bangkok2
Prachuap1
Pathum United0
Lamphun Warrior2
Sukhothai0
Bangkok Utd3
Kanchanaburi1
Buriram United F.C.4
Pattani0
Khonkaen United2
Nakhon Pathom0
Ayutthaya United3
Uttaradit FC0
Sisaket United1
Ratchaburi3
Quarter-finals
Chiangrai Utd0
Prachuap1
Lamphun Warrior2
Bangkok Utd1
Buriram United F.C.6
Khonkaen United0
Ayutthaya United1
Ratchaburi0
Semi-finals
Prachuap1
Lamphun Warrior0
Buriram United F.C.5
Ayutthaya United0
Final
Prachuap0
Buriram United F.C.1