Sport Picks
Buriram United F.C. vs Muang Thong Utd
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 Chang Arena, Buriram 
Match Events
7'
7'
Dougall K.
8'
8'
Saric M.
Penalty Missed
12'
12'
Sanchez R.
Assist: Walsh S.
AI Match Summary
Buriram United F.C. in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buriram United F.C..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Buriram United F.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Buriram United F.C. have won more games recently than Muang Thong Utd.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Buriram United F.C. taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Buriram United F.C. have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buriram United F.C. | Muang Thong Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.20 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Muang Thong Utd
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Buriram United F.C.
0:5
May 24, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Muang Thong Utd vs Buriram United F.C.
2:3
Feb 23, 2025 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Buriram United F.C.
1:3
Dec 22, 2024 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Muang Thong Utd
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buriram United F.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chotmuangpak T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Muang Thong Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Saric M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buriram United F.C. 95 / 100
Muang Thong Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buriram United F.C. Muang Thong Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buriram United F.C. found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Buriram United F.C. has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Muang Thong Utd has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Buriram United F.C. VS Muang Thong Utd
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.2
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Buriram United F.C.
(Home) 26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0 Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0 Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 7
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0 Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Selangor
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0 Ayutthaya United
13 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 2 Johor DT
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1 Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 4
Muang Thong Utd
(Away) 10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
05 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
26 Apr
Chonburi
0 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
22 Mar
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Muang Thong Utd
07 Mar
Prachuap
2 : 1 Muang Thong Utd
22 Feb
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
