Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buriram United F.C. vs Port MTI FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lins M.
24' Event
Dougall K.
84' Event
Nathan Pelae

AI Match Summary

Buriram United F.C. in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buriram United F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Buriram United F.C.
30%
Draws
28%
Port MTI FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Buriram United F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Buriram United F.C. have won more games recently than Port MTI FC.
  • Win probability leans Buriram United F.C.'s way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 20%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buriram United F.C. Port MTI FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.07 2.18
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Buriram United F.C. vs Port MTI FC
2:1
May 2, 2026 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Buriram United F.C.
3:1
Dec 14, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Port MTI FC
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Port MTI FC
0:1
Sep 12, 2024 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Buriram United F.C.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Dougall K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nathan Pelae
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Port MTI FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lins M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buriram United F.C. 76 / 100
Port MTI FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buriram United F.C. Port MTI FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buriram United F.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buriram United F.C. scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Buriram United F.C. went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Port MTI FC let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Buriram United F.C. VS Port MTI FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Buriram United F.C.

(Home)
10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2
Rayong FC
07 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
0 : 0
Borneo
20 Sept
Chonburi
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 6

Port MTI FC

(Away)
08 Oct
Port MTI FC
1 : 3
Persib Bandung
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6