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Burkina Faso U23 vs Sierra Leone U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Tue, Oct 6, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has Burkina Faso U23 written all over it on paper. Burkina Faso U23 have averaged 0.78 scored and 0.78 conceded recently, against Sierra Leone U23's 0.5 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Burkina Faso U23 have won 0 to Sierra Leone U23's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.60 xG vs 0.46) point toward Burkina Faso U23. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Burkina Faso U23
25%
Draws
35%
Sierra Leone U23
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Burkina Faso U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sierra Leone U23 haven't matched Burkina Faso U23's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Burkina Faso U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Burkina Faso U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Sierra Leone U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burkina Faso U23 Sierra Leone U23
Matches Played 9 2
Wins 3 0
Draws 2 1
Losses 4 1
Goals Scored 0.78 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.78 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 0.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Burkina Faso U23 vs Sierra Leone U23
0:0
Sep 28, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Sierra Leone U23 vs Burkina Faso U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burkina Faso U23 31 / 100
Sierra Leone U23 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burkina Faso U23 Sierra Leone U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burkina Faso U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sierra Leone U23 conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

Burkina Faso U23's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Solid form: Burkina Faso U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burkina Faso U23 VS Sierra Leone U23
0.88 Goals Scored 0.17
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.33
38% Over 1.5 17%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burkina Faso U23

(Home)
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
23 Oct
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 0
Senegal U23
27 Sept
Gambia U23
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U23
21 Sept
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 1
Gambia U23
18 Sept
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
Page 1 of 2

Sierra Leone U23

(Away)
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
22 Oct
Sierra Leone U23
1 : 1
Zambia U23

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -