Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium

Burkina Faso

4 - 1

Djibouti

Our Tip

Match Events

Dayo I.

12'

Tiendrebeogo J.

13'

Hamza A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Burkina Faso and Djibouti finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burkina Faso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Burkina Faso

Draws

Djibouti

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Burkina Faso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Burkina Faso carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Burkina Faso's way, sitting at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Burkina Faso have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Burkina Faso Clean Sheet 68%

Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Burkina Faso	Djibouti
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	17	5
Draws	6	3
Losses	9	21
Goals Scored	1.75	0.29
Goals Conceded	0.63	3.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	3.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2025 World Championship

Djibouti vs Burkina Faso

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

0:6

Mar 21, 2025 World Championship

Burkina Faso vs Djibouti

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

4:1

Oct 11, 2021 World Championship

Burkina Faso vs Djibouti

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Oct 8, 2021 World Championship

Djibouti vs Burkina Faso

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 0 - 1

0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burkina Faso Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiendrebeogo J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Traore B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Djibouti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.26

Avg xA / game 0.16

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burkina Faso 95 / 100

Djibouti 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Burkina Faso Djibouti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djibouti let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Burkina Faso scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Burkina Faso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burkina Faso VS Djibouti

1.75 Goals Scored 0.29

0.63 Goals Conceded 3.29

63% Over 1.5 71%

50% Over 2.5 71%

25% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	10	8	2	0	20:2	26
2	Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	23:8	21
3	Sierra Leone	10	4	3	3	12:10	15
4	Guinea Bissau	10	2	4	4	8:10	10
5	Ethiopia	10	2	3	5	9:14	9
6	Djibouti	10	0	1	9	5:33	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	10	7	3	0	22:3	24
2	D.R. Congo	10	7	1	2	15:6	22
3	Sudan	10	3	4	3	8:6	13
4	Togo	10	1	5	4	5:10	8
5	Mauritania	10	1	4	5	4:13	7
6	South Sudan	10	0	5	5	3:19	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	10	5	3	2	15:9	18
2	Nigeria	10	4	5	1	15:8	17
3	Benin	10	5	2	3	12:11	17
4	Lesotho	10	3	3	4	9:12	12
5	Rwanda	10	3	2	5	5:9	11
6	Zimbabwe	10	0	5	5	5:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cape Verde	10	7	2	1	16:8	23
2	Cameroon	10	5	4	1	17:5	19
3	Libya	10	4	4	2	12:10	16
4	Angola	10	2	6	2	9:8	12
5	Mauritius	10	1	3	6	7:17	6
6	Eswatini	10	0	3	7	6:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	8	8	0	0	22:2	24
2	Niger	8	5	0	3	11:10	15
3	Tanzania	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
4	Zambia	8	3	0	5	10:10	9
5	Congo	8	0	1	7	4:24	1
6	Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ivory Coast	10	8	2	0	25:0	26
2	Gabon	10	8	1	1	22:9	25
3	Gambia	10	4	1	5	27:18	13
4	Kenya	10	3	3	4	18:14	12
5	Burundi	10	3	1	6	13:13	10
6	Seychelles	10	0	0	10	2:53	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	10	8	1	1	24:8	25
2	Uganda	10	6	0	4	14:9	18
3	Mozambique	10	6	0	4	14:17	18
4	Guinea	10	4	3	3	11:8	15
5	Botswana	10	3	1	6	12:16	10
6	Somalia	10	0	1	9	3:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	10	9	1	0	22:0	28
2	Namibia	10	4	3	3	13:10	15
3	Liberia	10	4	3	3	13:11	15
4	Malawi	10	4	1	5	11:10	13
5	Equatorial Guinea	10	3	2	5	8:15	11
6	Sao Tome and Principe	10	1	0	9	5:26	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ghana	10	8	1	1	23:6	25
2	Madagascar	10	6	1	3	17:12	19
3	Mali	10	5	3	2	17:6	18
4	Comoros	10	5	0	5	12:13	15
5	Central Africa	10	2	2	6	11:24	8
6	Chad	10	0	1	9	5:24	1