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Burkina Faso W vs South Africa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Al Medina Stadium, Rabat
Burkina Faso W Logo

Burkina Faso W

0 - 1
FT
South Africa W Logo

South Africa W

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kgatlana T.
Assist: Magama F.
46'
Sub
Cesane S. In: Ramalepe L.
Out: Cesane S.
46'
Sub
Motlhalo L. In: Motau A.
Out: Motlhalo L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Burkina Faso W
20%
Draws
47%
South Africa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Africa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Burkina Faso W haven't matched South Africa W's recent run of results.
  • South Africa W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • South Africa W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor South Africa W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • South Africa W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Burkina Faso W Clean Sheet 19%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burkina Faso W South Africa W
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 11 20
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.44 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Burkina Faso W vs South Africa W
0:1
Dec 4, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Africa W vs Burkina Faso W
2:0
Nov 30, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Burkina Faso W vs South Africa W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burkina Faso W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

South Africa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kgatlana T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burkina Faso W 24 / 100
South Africa W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burkina Faso W South Africa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Africa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burkina Faso W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Burkina Faso W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: South Africa W conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Burkina Faso W VS South Africa W
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burkina Faso W

(Home)
08 Oct
Burkina Faso W
3 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1
South Africa W
31 Jul
Burkina Faso W
2 : 1
Tanzania W
27 Jul
Ivory Coast W
4 : 1
Burkina Faso W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
Page 1 of 6

South Africa W

(Away)
09 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 4
South Africa W
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
08 Aug
Morocco W
2 : 1
South Africa W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1
South Africa W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)