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Burnie United vs Launceston United U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tasmania Northern Championship
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AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Northern Championship game between Burnie United and Launceston United U21 finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burnie United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Burnie United
15%
Draws
28%
Launceston United U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burnie United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Burnie United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Burnie United taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Launceston United U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnie United Launceston United U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 20 27
Goals Scored 2.3 0.73
Goals Conceded 3.87 6.37
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston United U21
9:0
Jul 11, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Burnie United
3:3
May 9, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Burnie United
1:5
Aug 9, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Launceston United U21
10:0
Jun 14, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United U21 vs Burnie United
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnie United 83 / 100
Launceston United U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnie United Launceston United U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnie United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Launceston United U21 conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Burnie United scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Launceston United U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnie United VS Launceston United U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
4.25 Goals Conceded 5.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnie United

(Home)
29 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 3
Burnie United
22 Aug
Burnie United
3 : 0
Launceston City U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Burnie United
4 : 10
Northern Rangers
01 Aug
Somerset
2 : 0
Burnie United
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Launceston United U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Launceston United U21
1 : 11
Devonport U21
22 Aug
Northern Rangers
6 : 1
Launceston United U21
15 Aug
Launceston City U21
5 : 3
Launceston United U21
08 Aug
Launceston United U21
2 : 1
Riverside Olympic U21
31 Jul
Ulverstone U21
3 : 2
Launceston United U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
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