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Burnie United vs Somerset

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Tasmania Northern Championship 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Northern Championship 2023 game between Burnie United and Somerset finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Somerset.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Burnie United
6%
Draws
90%
Somerset
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Somerset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Burnie United haven't matched Somerset's recent run of results.
  • Somerset are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Somerset have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Burnie United Clean Sheet 10%
Somerset Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnie United Somerset
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 2 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Somerset
0:5
Mar 21, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Burnie United
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Somerset
0:4
Jun 28, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Burnie United
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Burnie United vs Somerset
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnie United 10 / 100
Somerset 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnie United Somerset

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Burnie United scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Somerset let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Burnie United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnie United VS Somerset
2 Goals Scored 2.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Somerset21210085:1763
2Northern Rangers21151584:2446
3Ulverstone21132663:4441
4Devonport U2121901242:4927
5Riverside Olympic U2121801346:8524
6Launceston City U2121711352:6122
7Launceston United U2121511530:8216
8Burnie United21311730:7010