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Burnley U18 vs Nottingham U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Tambwe L.
26' Event
Balagizi B.
Assist: Nolan S.
38' Event
Balagizi B.
Assist: Bonnick A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 game between Burnley U18 and Nottingham U18 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Burnley U18
30%
Draws
47%
Nottingham U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nottingham U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nottingham U18 come out ahead of Burnley U18 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nottingham U18 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Burnley U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U18 Nottingham U18
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.07 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Nottingham U18
2:2
Mar 31, 2026 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Nottingham U18
3:5
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Burnley U18
3:0
Apr 9, 2022 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Nottingham U18
0:1
Sep 25, 2021 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Burnley U18
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tambwe L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lewis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Nottingham U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Balagizi B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U18 22 / 100
Nottingham U18 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U18 Nottingham U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U18 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Nottingham U18 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Burnley U18 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U18 VS Nottingham U18
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U18

(Home)
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 0
Burnley U18
19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2
Burnley U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Sunderland U18
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2
Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1
Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Blackburn U18
0 : 8
Nottingham U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 26:8 18
2 Newcastle Utd U18 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 16:1 12
4 Nottingham U18 5 3 1 1 15:4 10
5 Derby U18 7 3 1 3 12:14 10
6 Leeds U18 6 3 0 3 11:17 9
7 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
8 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
9 Middlesbrough U18 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
10 Stoke City U18 7 2 1 4 14:19 7
11 Everton U18 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
12 Blackburn U18 5 2 0 3 5:20 6
13 Leicester U18 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
15 Wolves U18 6 0 0 6 4:20 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 7 5 1 1 34:11 16
2 Chelsea U18 7 5 0 2 28:10 15
3 Arsenal U18 7 4 1 2 12:7 13
4 Brighton U18 7 4 1 2 18:19 13
5 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 23:15 12
6 Southampton U18 7 4 0 3 23:15 12
7 Brentford U18 7 4 0 3 20:17 12
8 West Ham U18 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
9 Ipswich U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
11 Bournemouth U18 7 2 2 3 15:22 8
12 West Brom U18 6 2 1 3 5:14 7
13 Norwich U18 7 2 0 5 13:23 6
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
15 Reading U18 8 1 1 6 11:30 4
16 Birmingham U18 6 1 0 5 6:22 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)