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Stadium Background

Burnley U21 vs QPR U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Wetshi B.
Assist: Pouani B.
32' Event
Hassan R.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Pearman J.
Assist: Wilkie A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with QPR U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Burnley U21
20%
Draws
47%
QPR U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: QPR U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • QPR U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on QPR U21 taking it.
  • QPR U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Burnley U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 10%
QPR U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley U21 QPR U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.93
Goals Conceded 2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2025 Premier League Cup
QPR U21 vs Burnley U21
0:1
Nov 20, 2025 Premier League Cup
Burnley U21 vs QPR U21
1:3
Apr 30, 2025 Premier League Cup
QPR U21 vs Burnley U21
2:0
Sep 17, 2024 Professional Development League
Burnley U21 vs QPR U21
6:0
Sep 8, 2023 Professional Development League
Burnley U21 vs QPR U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burnley U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wetshi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

QPR U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pearman J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Brien A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley U21 10 / 100
QPR U21 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley U21 QPR U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QPR U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QPR U21 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Burnley U21 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Burnley U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burnley U21 VS QPR U21
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley U21

(Home)
14 Aug
Wolves U21
2 : 0
Burnley U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
13 Apr
Burnley U21
2 : 1
West Brom U21
12 Apr
Burnley U21
0 : 2
Blackburn U21
23 Mar
Ipswich U21
0 : 0
Burnley U21
Page 1 of 6

QPR U21

(Away)
14 Aug
QPR U21
4 : 1
Bolton U21
21 Jul
Worthing FC
1 : 0
QPR U21
14 Jul
Wealdstone
2 : 4
QPR U21
13 Apr
Crewe U21
1 : 1
QPR U21
10 Apr
QPR U21
5 : 2
Bournemouth U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)