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Burnley vs Bournemouth

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Turf Moor
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Christie R. In: Adli A.
Out: Christie R.
61'
Sub
Smith A. In: Jimenez A.
Out: Smith A.
66'
Sub
Foster L. In: Edwards M.
Out: Foster L.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Burnley and Bournemouth finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Burnley
6%
Draws
90%
Bournemouth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bournemouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Burnley haven't matched Bournemouth's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bournemouth taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley Bournemouth
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 10 15
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Burnley vs Bournemouth
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Burnley
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Premier League
Burnley vs Bournemouth
0:2
Oct 28, 2023 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Burnley
2:1
Jan 7, 2023 FA Cup
Bournemouth vs Burnley
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley 10 / 100
Bournemouth 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley Bournemouth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Bournemouth has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Burnley stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burnley VS Bournemouth
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal38267571:2785
2Manchester City38239677:3578
3Manchester United382011769:5071
4Aston Villa381981156:4965
5Liverpool381791263:5360
6Bournemouth381318758:5457
7Sunderland3814121242:4854
8Brighton3814111352:4653
9Brentford3814111355:5253
10Chelsea3814101458:5252
11Fulham381571647:5152
12Newcastle Utd381471753:5549
13Everton3813101547:5049
14Leeds3811141349:5647
15Crystal Palace3811121541:5145
16Nottingham3811111648:5144
17Tottenham3810111748:5741
18West Ham381091946:6539
19Burnley384102438:7522
20Wolves383112427:6820