Sport Picks
Burnley vs Bristol City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Turf Moor, Burnley 
Match Events
45'
45'
Ekdal H.
46'
46'
Sub
Hountondji A. In: Broja A.
Out: Hountondji A.
46'
46'
Sub
Ekdal H. In: Ahmedhodzic A.
Out: Ekdal H.
AI Match Summary
Bristol City in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bristol City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bristol City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bristol City lately — more wins on the board than Burnley.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Burnley taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Burnley have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Burnley Clean Sheet 12%
Bristol City Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burnley | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Championship
Burnley vs Bristol City
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Championship
Burnley vs Bristol City
1:0
Nov 23, 2024 Championship
Bristol City vs Burnley
0:1
Apr 29, 2023 Championship
Bristol City vs Burnley
1:2
Sep 17, 2022 Championship
Burnley vs Bristol City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burnley Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramsey A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Bristol City Compare
Top Goalscorer Dickie R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hirakawa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burnley 40 / 100
Bristol City 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burnley Bristol City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burnley scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Bristol City conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Burnley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Burnley VS Bristol City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Burnley
(Home) 10 Oct
Watford
0 : 4 Burnley
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Derby
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2 Bristol City
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Derby
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2 Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
16 Aug
Burnley
2 : 2 West Ham
08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 3
Bristol City
(Away) 10 Oct
Charlton
1 : 1 Bristol City
03 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Bristol City
18 Sept
Bristol City
1 : 0 Watford
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Charlton
1 : 1 Bristol City
03 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Bristol City
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2 Bristol City
01 Sept
Preston
1 : 3 Bristol City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 5 | Wolves | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 9 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 11 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Blackburn | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Lincoln City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 16 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Bolton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 18 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 22 | Burnley | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | 7 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
