Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burnley W vs Rugby Borough W

England England

Women's National League North Lancashire County Ground
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burnley W play Rugby Borough W in the Women's National League North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Burnley W averaged 3.35 goals scored and 0.58 conceded. Rugby Borough W averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Burnley W won 2, Rugby Borough W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Burnley W and 0.94 for Rugby Borough W. This points to a Burnley W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Burnley W
15%
Draws
35%
Rugby Borough W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burnley W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Burnley W picked up more points recently compared to Rugby Borough W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Burnley W Clean Sheet 24%
Rugby Borough W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burnley W Rugby Borough W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 25 16
Draws 2 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 3.35 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Rugby Borough W
5:0
Nov 30, 2025 Women's National League North
Rugby Borough W vs Burnley W
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Women's National League North
Rugby Borough W vs Burnley W
3:1
Mar 2, 2025 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Rugby Borough W
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burnley W 50 / 100
Rugby Borough W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burnley W Rugby Borough W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Burnley W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Burnley W attacking → ← attacking Rugby Borough W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley W scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Rugby Borough W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Burnley W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Rugby Borough W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

77 Points in last 5 55
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Burnley W22202063:562
2Wolverhampton W22201170:1061
3Rugby Borough W22125543:2741
4Stoke City LFC W22103936:3133
5Middlesbrough W2287729:3031
6West Brom W2294929:3131
7Liverpool Feds W22751044:4526
8Derby W22641218:3922
9Hull City W22551223:5420
10Loughborough Lightning W22471121:4319
11Halifax W22441415:3816
12Sporting Khalsa W22311818:5610