Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burreli vs Lushnja

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Liri Ballabani Stadium, Burrel
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Mensah S. N. O.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Burreli and Lushnja finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burreli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Burreli
30%
Draws
31%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burreli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burreli come out ahead of Lushnja on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Burreli taking it.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Burreli have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Burreli Clean Sheet 20%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli Lushnja
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 0.93 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Lushnja
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Burreli
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Lushnja
0:0
Mar 5, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Burreli
1:3
Dec 21, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Burreli
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burreli Compare

Top Goalscorer Mensah S. N. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Lushnja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 58 / 100
Lushnja 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burreli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lushnja has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Burreli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Lushnja has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Burreli found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS Lushnja
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burreli

(Home)
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Burreli
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 6

Lushnja

(Away)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)