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Burreli vs Pogradeci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burreli host Pogradeci in the Kategoria e Parë. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Burreli have averaged 0.94 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Pogradeci's 2.06 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Burreli have won 2 to Pogradeci's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.88) point toward Pogradeci. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Burreli
35%
Draws
45%
Pogradeci
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogradeci have won more games recently than Burreli.
  • Model gives Pogradeci a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Burreli Clean Sheet 10%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli Pogradeci
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 8 19
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.94 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Pogradeci
0:3
Feb 15, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Burreli
2:0
Nov 7, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Pogradeci
2:0
Apr 24, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Burreli vs Pogradeci
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Pogradeci
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 10 / 100
Pogradeci 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli Pogradeci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogradeci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Burreli's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Burreli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS Pogradeci
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burreli

(Home)
24 Oct
Burreli
1 : 2
Kukesi
17 Oct
Iliria Kruja
1 : 0
Burreli
11 Oct
Burreli
0 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
07 Oct
Burreli
2 : 3
Eagle FA
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
Page 1 of 7

Pogradeci

(Away)
23 Oct
Bylis
2 : 2
Pogradeci
17 Oct
Pogradeci
2 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 2
Pogradeci
07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0
Delvina
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Besa Kavaje 7 4 1 2 17:7 13
2 Pogradeci 7 3 4 0 11:5 13
3 Flamurtari 7 3 3 1 11:6 12
4 Kukesi 7 4 0 3 10:8 12
5 Iliria Kruja 7 3 3 1 7:5 12
6 Bylis 7 2 5 0 7:5 11
7 Beselidhja Lezha 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
8 Kastrioti 7 2 2 3 8:10 8
9 Korabi Peshkopi 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
10 Sopoti Librazhd 7 1 4 2 8:12 7
11 Burreli 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 KF Oriku 7 0 1 6 3:16 1
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)