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Burreli vs Skenderbeu Korca

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Liri Ballabani Stadium, Burrel
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Beshiraj M.

AI Match Summary

Skenderbeu Korca in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skenderbeu Korca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Burreli
35%
Draws
22%
Skenderbeu Korca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Burreli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Skenderbeu Korca have won more games recently than Burreli.
  • Win probability leans Burreli's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Skenderbeu Korca have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Burreli Clean Sheet 68%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli Skenderbeu Korca
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Burreli
3:0
Mar 4, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:0
Oct 8, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Burreli
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burreli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Beshiraj M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 51 / 100
Skenderbeu Korca 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli Skenderbeu Korca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burreli's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Skenderbeu Korca conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Burreli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS Skenderbeu Korca
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burreli

(Home)
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
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Skenderbeu Korca

(Away)
19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Dinamo City
21 Aug
Vllaznia
2 : 2
Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)