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Burreli vs Tomori Berat Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kastrati E.
78' Event
Kurbneshi D.

AI Match Summary

Burreli in this Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burreli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Burreli
30%
Draws
23%
Tomori Berat
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burreli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Burreli have won more games recently than Tomori Berat.
  • Burreli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Burreli Clean Sheet 68%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli Tomori Berat
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 1
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.06 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Burreli
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Tomori Berat
2:0
Nov 6, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Burreli
0:1
Mar 18, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Burreli
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Tomori Berat
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burreli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kastrati E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kurbneshi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Tomori Berat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 95 / 100
Tomori Berat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli Tomori Berat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burreli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomori Berat has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Burreli found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (35 games).

Burreli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Tomori Berat registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS Tomori Berat
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burreli

(Home)
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
Page 1 of 7

Tomori Berat

(Away)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AF Elbasani 33 24 7 2 76:32 79
2 Bylis 33 22 5 6 55:31 71
3 Flamurtari 33 16 10 7 46:29 58
4 Vora 33 15 5 13 61:50 50
5 Apolonia Fier 33 12 10 11 44:31 46
6 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 8 13 42:38 44
7 Kastrioti 33 10 10 13 43:47 40
8 Burreli 33 12 4 17 28:43 40
9 Lushnja 33 10 8 15 38:53 38
10 Besa Kavaje 33 10 8 15 34:47 38
11 Luzi 33 9 4 20 41:56 31
12 Tomori Berat 33 4 5 24 21:72 17
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 (Relegation)