Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burreli vs Turbina Cerrik

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kastrati E.
18' Event
Kurbneshi D.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Murrja A.

AI Match Summary

Burreli host Turbina Cerrik in the First Division 2022/2023. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Turbina Cerrik have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Burreli have conceded 1 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Burreli slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2023, ending 4:1. xG projections (0.97 - 1.00) back Burreli to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Burreli
17%
Draws
13%
Turbina Cerrik
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Burreli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Burreli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Turbina Cerrik.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Burreli.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First Division 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Burreli Clean Sheet 68%
Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burreli Turbina Cerrik
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Turbina Cerrik
4:1
Dec 21, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Burreli
1:0
Mar 5, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Turbina Cerrik
3:0
Oct 30, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Burreli
1:2
Mar 31, 2010 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Turbina Cerrik
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burreli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kastrati E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koleci E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Top Goalscorer Murrja A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burreli 77 / 100
Turbina Cerrik 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burreli Turbina Cerrik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burreli scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Turbina Cerrik let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Burreli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Turbina Cerrik lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burreli VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skenderbeu Korca261310337:1349
2Dinamo Tirana26145748:2347
3Flamurtari26137640:1646
4Tomori Berat26134929:2743
5Korabi Peshkopi26109732:2439
6Apolonia Fier26108831:3038
7Luzi26108831:2638
8Besa Kavaje26107932:2637
9Lushnja26881030:4232
10Burreli26710922:2931
11KF Oriku26931427:3330
12Turbina Cerrik26751424:4526
13Beselidhja Lezha26381517:4114
14Terbuni Puka26661416:4124