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Bursa Yildirimspor vs Bucaspor 1928 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Akyel Y.
Assist: Ozturk H.
88'
Yuceer E.
88'
Yuceer E.

AI Match Summary

Bursa Yildirimspor in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bursa Yildirimspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Bursa Yildirimspor
20%
Draws
17%
Bucaspor 1928
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bursa Yildirimspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Bursa Yildirimspor have won more games recently than Bucaspor 1928.
  • Win probability leans Bursa Yildirimspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 20%
Bucaspor 1928 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursa Yildirimspor Bucaspor 1928
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 3
Draws 10 5
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.32 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Bucaspor 1928
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Akyel Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bucaspor 1928 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursa Yildirimspor 85 / 100
Bucaspor 1928 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursa Yildirimspor Bucaspor 1928

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursa Yildirimspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucaspor 1928's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Bursa Yildirimspor stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Bursa Yildirimspor found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Bucaspor 1928 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bursa Yildirimspor VS Bucaspor 1928
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bursa Yildirimspor

(Home)
07 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 0
Amasyaspor
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
13 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Bursa Yildirimspor
Page 1 of 6

Bucaspor 1928

(Away)
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2
Altay
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
16 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
0 : 4
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
12 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
2 : 1
Aksehirspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)